Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1

24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY).

USL Championship
Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	1.47
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
85% (359/422)	88% (462/526)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	1.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.88
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
27	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
85% (359/422)	88% (462/526)
Long passes
62% (24/39)	53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)	78% (61/78)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.87
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
79% (15/19)	88% (14/16)
Duels won
45	45
Clearances
9	30
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.88	0.98
Goals prevented
-0.12	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
35', Greene J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
69', Greene J. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
71', Burks K. 🟨,
72', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
72', Pacius W. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
87', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
89', Midence A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Lexington
39.1%

Draw
27%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.78)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	2.73 ↑ (2.38)	7.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 12).
Lexington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Latest results of Lexington

18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3 ✺

10.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery 1:3 ✺

07.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City 0:5 ✺

03.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	24	17	6	1	48:18	30	57
2	Charleston ✔	24	16	3	5	50:27	23	51
3	Loudoun	24	11	4	9	39:40	-1	37
4	North Carolina	23	11	3	9	35:32	3	36
5	Hartford Athletic	24	10	5	9	37:27	10	35
6	Detroit	24	8	8	8	29:30	-1	32
7	Pittsburgh	24	8	7	9	23:23	0	31
8	Rhode Island	24	7	6	11	17:24	-7	27
9	Indy Eleven	24	7	5	12	36:43	-7	26
10	Tampa Bay	23	6	4	13	27:37	-10	22
11	Birmingham	23	4	10	9	29:38	-9	22
12	Miami FC	24	5	6	13	22:38	-16	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	24	13	7	4	39:26	13	46
2	Sacramento Republic	23	10	8	5	35:19	16	38
3	New Mexico	23	10	3	10	31:31	0	33
4	San Antonio	23	9	6	8	31:30	1	33
5	El Paso	23	8	8	7	37:33	4	32
6	Lexington	24	8	8	8	26:30	-4	32
7	Colorado Springs	23	8	7	8	32:33	-1	31
8	Phoenix Rising	24	7	10	7	40:42	-2	31
9	Orange County SC	22	8	5	9	34:34	0	29
10	Oakland Roots	23	7	4	12	28:37	-9	25
11	Las Vegas Lights	24	6	7	11	18:39	-21	25
12	Monterey Bay	25	6	6	13	24:36	-12	24

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

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