Racing vs San Martín de San Juan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Argentina Racing - San Martín de San Juan
Result
3:1
02/07/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals
Racing - San Martín de San Juan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.45
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
67% (221/330)69% (227/330)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.45
xG on target (xGOT)
3.071.36
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
67% (221/330)69% (227/330)
Long passes
40% (27/68)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
46% (33/71)52% (57/109)
Crosses
27% (3/11)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.35
Throw-ins
2711
Fouls
1516
Tackles
44% (8/18)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
3724
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.363.07
Goals prevented
0.46-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Degregorio R. M. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Tijanovich H. , Molina A. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Adrian Martinez , Solari S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sanchez R. , Zuculini B. ,
  • 58', Rojas G. 🟨,
  • 61', Degregorio R. M. , Balboa A. ,
  • 68', Rojas G. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Balboa A. ,
  • 75', Fernandez T. , Menendez J. ,
  • 75', Gonzalez F. , Barrera S. ,
  • 76', Balboa A. 🟨,
  • 76', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Adrian Martinez ,
  • 80', Watson N. 🟨,
  • 81', Adrian Martinez 🟥,
  • 83', Solari S. , Almendra A. E. ,
  • 84', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 84', Tijanovich H. , Iacobellis M. ,
  • 84', Watson N. , Anselmo F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
58%
Draw
26.7%
San Martín de San Juan
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 23.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 22.7% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Racing - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.52)
    3.47
    (3.95)
    6.02
    (6.41)
    8.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Racing - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Martín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Racing is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    Latest results of Racing
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    14.05.2025 Racing - Colo-Colo 4:0
    10.05.2025 Racing - Platense 0:1
    02.05.2025 Racing - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoSportivo Las Parejas1 : 0
    2Central CordobaQuilmes0 : 1
    3TigreBerazategui3 : 0
    4BanfieldVilla Mitre1 : 0
    5PlatenseArgentino de Quilmes2 : 0
    6Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes1 : 0
    7Sarmiento JuninCentral Cordoba0 : 1
    8Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Espanol1 : 0
    9Racing ClubSantamarina2 : 0
    10San Martin S.J.Gimnasia Jujuy1 : 0
    11Dep. RiestraSan Telmo3 : 2
    12Talleres CordobaDeportivo Armenio3 : 4
    13Rosario CentralLos Andes1 : 0
    14Union de Santa FeColegiales3 : 1
    15San Martin T.Colon Santa Fe1 : 0
    16River PlateCiudad Bolivar2 : 0
    17Boca JuniorsArgentino MM5 : 0
    18Atl. TucumanAll Boys2 : 1
    19Defensa y JusticiaRacing Cordoba3 : 1
    20Newells Old BoysKimberley1 : 0
    21BelgranoReal Pilar3 : 1
    22Barracas CentralDef. de Belgrano0 : 2
    23Gimnasia MendozaNueva Chicago2 : 0
    24IndependienteSportivo Belgrano2 : 0
    25Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento de La Banda2 : 1
    26AldosiviGimnasia y Tiro2 : 1
    27Godoy CruzExcursionistas0 : 1
    28Argentinos JrsCentral Norte3 : 0
    29LanusGeneral Lamadrid4 : 0
    30Velez SarsfieldMidland1 : 0
    31InstitutoDeportivo Madryn3 : 0
    32HuracanSan Martin Formosa2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1San LorenzoQuilmes1 : 0
    2TigreBanfield2 : 0
    3PlatenseInd. Rivadavia2 : 3
    4Central CordobaGimnasia L.P.2 : 1
    5Racing ClubSan Martin S.J.3 : 1
    6Dep. RiestraDeportivo Armenio3 : 2
    7Rosario CentralUnion de Santa Fe0 : 1
    8San Martin T.River Plate
    9Boca JuniorsAtl. Tucuman
    10Defensa y JusticiaNewells Old Boys0 : 2
    11BelgranoDef. de Belgrano3 : 2
    12Gimnasia MendozaIndependiente1 : 2
    13Estudiantes L.P.Aldosivi1 : 2
    14ExcursionistasArgentinos Jrs0 : 3
    15LanusVelez Sarsfield2 : 0
    16InstitutoHuracan0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1San LorenzoTigre
    2Ind. RivadaviaCentral Cordoba
    3Racing ClubDep. Riestra
    4Union de Santa FeTBD #8
    5TBD #9Newells Old Boys
    6BelgranoIndependiente
    7AldosiviArgentinos Jrs
    8LanusHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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