Result
1:0
24/11/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (611/698) | 67% (184/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (611/698) | 67% (184/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 23% (13/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (251/308) | 45% (36/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Triantis N. 🟨,
- 20', Yeboah K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 1 - 0, Dreyer A. ⚽, Baird C. (A), Tverskov J. (A2)
- 77', Pilcher I. 🟨,
- 78', Godoy A. ↓, de la Torre L. ↑,
- 78', Pellegrino A. ↓, Lozano H. ↑,
- 79', Baird C. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
- 82', Markanich A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Harvey C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sisniega P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ingvartsen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Diego
58.1% | Draw
22.3% | Minnesota United
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
San Diego - Minnesota United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.6) |
4.3 ↑
(4.25) |
4.93 ↓
(5.07) |
4.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Minnesota United?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Minnesota will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Minnesota (5.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Minnesota (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Minnesota (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- San Diego is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Harangi A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
dos Santos C. J.
(Head Injury)
- There will not play in Minnesota: Jung Ho-yeon
(Knee Injury)
Rosales J.
(Red Card)
- We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Minnesota United?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against San Diego?
Minnesota United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Minnesota United were as follows:
13.09.2025
San Diego
-
Minnesota United
1:3
14.06.2025
Minnesota United
-
San Diego
2:4
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Minnesota United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
