Result
1:0
22/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (266/316) | 92% (726/790) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (266/316) | 92% (726/790) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 61% (17/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (21/36) | 79% (185/233) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Aliyu I. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
- 38', Godoy A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Samassekou D. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 66', Guilherme ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
- 66', Godoy A. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
- 66', Morgan L. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
- 75', Bogusz M. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
- 75', Bouzat A. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 78', Soe O. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
- 79', Mighten A. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
- 79', Pellegrino A. 🟥,
- 90+1', Felipe Andrade ↓, Sviatchenko E. ↑,
- 90+1', Verhoeven O. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
- 90+3', Negri F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Pilcher I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Lingr O. 🟥,
- 90+11', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Houston Dynamo 49.1% | Draw 23.9% | San Diego 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Houston Dynamo - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↓ (2.1) |
3.95 ↑ (3.5) |
3.55 ↑ (3.05) |
5% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Houston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Diego has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Houston might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Houston: Lucas Halter
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Bombino L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Eisner W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pilcher I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sargeant K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Houston: McGlynn J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Diego: Sisniega P.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 3:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Houston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against San Diego?
Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Houston Dynamo?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - San Diego were as follows:
04.10.2025
Houston Dynamo
-
San Diego
2:4
05.07.2025
San Diego
-
Houston Dynamo
3:4
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)