Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Cori V. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (279/336) | 86% (379/440) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (279/336) | 86% (379/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (39/65) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (76/113) | 72% (77/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 19% (7/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (15/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 1 - 0, Da Luz M. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Pasquini N. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Sosa L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', Bersano F. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 65', Bazan N. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Da Luz M. ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 2, Da Luz M. ⚽,
- 76', Yotun Y. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 76', Gonzales C. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 80', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
- 80', Pretell J. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 80', Barreto G. ↓, Choi G. ↑,
- 81', Da Luz M. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cabello C. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
37.5% | Draw
29.7% | Sporting Cristal
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.35) |
3.22 ↓
(3.55) |
2.85 ↑
(2.6) |
3.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1.
- ADT is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting Cristal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- ADT might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in ADT: Perez A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Felipe Vizeu
(Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Sporting Cristal?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against ADT Tarma?
Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
17.05.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
ADT Tarma
2:1
12.07.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Sporting Cristal
3:1
27.01.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
ADT Tarma
6:2
06.08.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
04.03.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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