Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (213/271) | 91% (589/648) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (213/271) | 91% (589/648) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 69% (45/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 74% (101/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Midence A. 🟨,
- 24', Burks K. 🟨,
- 25', Seymore W. 🟨,
- 35', Zelalem G. 🟨,
- 42', Zengue X. 🟨,
- 45+6', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Akale M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 65', Gaines M. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
- 65', Ryden K. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Djeffal S. ⚽, Hafferty J. (A),
- 73', 2 - 1, Zengue X. ⚽,
- 77', Seymore W. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
- 82', Luiz Fernando ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 83', Sargeant K. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
- 83', Midence A. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 83', Nick Firmino ↓, Greene J. ↑,
- 86', Adedokun M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ajago F. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
- 90+9', Epps M. ↓, Barbir D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lexington
36.1% | Draw
27.6% | New Mexico United
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Lexington - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.8) |
3.3 ↓
(3.32) |
2.51 ↑
(2.36) |
9.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lexington - New Mexico United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Lexington has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- New Mexico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against New Mexico United?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Lexington?
New Mexico United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - New Mexico United were as follows:
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 35:16 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 29:12 | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Detroit | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:25 | -9 | 11 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 18 |
| 9 | Lexington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Orange County SC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Colorado Springs | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Lexington - New Mexico United?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
