Result
0:0
18/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (347/417) | 82% (344/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (347/417) | 82% (344/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 62% (56/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Brewitt T. 🟨,
- 41', Greene J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 60', Johnson J. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 65', Zengue X. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
- 71', MacKinnon L. 🟨,
- 71', Kelly S. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
- 76', Henry-Scott M. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
- 79', MacKinnon L. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
- 79', Hegardt C. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
- 90', Burks K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
36.9% | Draw
29.5% | Lexington
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Orange County SC - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.44) |
3.16 ↑
(3.07) |
2.77 ↓
(2.85) |
7.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Lexington?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Orange County SC (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Orange County SC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lexington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Lexington?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Orange County SC?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Lexington were as follows:
12.09.2025
Lexington
-
Orange County SC
1:1
15.03.2025
Orange County SC
-
Lexington
2:2
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Lexington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
