Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
13 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Peraza C. ⚽,
- 26', Martinez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Figueroa B. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 46', Monroy F. ↓, Abam M. ↑,
- 46', Erceg A. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
- 52', Flores E. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Abam M. ⚽,
- 59', Vazquez S. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
- 61', Ramos L. ↓, Molina D. ↑,
- 63', Ramirez M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 72', 🟨,
- 72', Flores E. 🟥,
- 73', Toraya Y. 🟨,
- 76', Fernandez L. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
- 80', Carrandi D. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 84', Cecena S. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca 77.7% | Draw 13.9% | Querétaro 8.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Toluca - Querétaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.2 ↓ (1.35) |
6.68 ↑ (4.85) |
11.03 ↑ (7.7) |
7.7% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Querétaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Querétaro?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Toluca?
Querétaro has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Querétaro were as follows:
20.01.2025
Toluca
-
Querétaro
1:2
18.08.2024
Querétaro
-
Toluca
1:0
11.04.2024
Toluca
-
Querétaro
1:2
01.09.2023
Querétaro
-
Toluca
1:2
23.01.2023
Toluca
-
Querétaro
0:1
Latest results of Querétaro
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)