Result
2:2
13/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 32
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/425) | 83% (295/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.59 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/425) | 83% (295/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 72% (94/131) | 79% (100/126) |
| Crosses |
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| 24% (6/25) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.30 | 3.59 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.70 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Mikael ⚽,
- 22', Gustavo Medina ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 25', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Alencar ⚽, Albano (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Dada Belmonte ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Thiago Lopes ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 53', 2 - 2, Carlao ⚽,
- 65', Netinho 🟨,
- 67', Gege ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 67', Leo Campos ↓, Weverton ↑,
- 70', Albano ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 76', Mikael ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
- 76', Dada Belmonte ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
- 82', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 82', Alencar ↓, Vitor Mendes ↑,
- 86', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 90', Higor Meritao ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
- 90+3', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
- 90+5', Thiaguinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
CRB Maceio
62.2% | Draw
23.1% | Ferroviária
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5%)
CRB Maceio - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.77) |
4.04 ↑
(3.35) |
6.35 ↑
(4.54) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CRB Maceio - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - CRB (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - CRB (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, CRB is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in CRB: Danielzinho
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Knee Injury)
Eric Melo
(Injury)
Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
Juninho
(Injury)
Ronaldo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, CRB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has CRB Maceio won against Ferroviária?
CRB Maceio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against CRB Maceio?
Ferroviária has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CRB Maceio - Ferroviária were as follows:
21.06.2025
Ferroviária
-
CRB Maceio
1:0
Latest results of CRB Maceio
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
