Result
2:2
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 29
- Referee: Lynch M. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (403/491) | 77% (270/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (403/491) | 77% (270/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/78) | 27% (16/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (106/157) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Melia M. ⚽, Forrester C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Frizzell A. ↓, Bannon A. ↑,
- 57', Diallo S. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 2, Forrester C. ⚽, Melia M. (A),
- 69', Whyte G. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 69', O'Reilly A. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 70', Kazeem A. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Bannon A. ⚽, Mullen D. (A),
- 80', Power S. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Bannon A. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 87', Sjoberg A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Duffy M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Forrester C. ↓, Robinson D. ↑,
- 90+3', Melia M. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derry City
34% | Draw
31.9% | St Patricks Athletic
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derry City's form might have worsened.St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derry City - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.16) |
3.13
(3.13) |
2.86 ↓
(3.66) |
-0.1%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derry City - St Patricks Athletic?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). St Patricks will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Derry could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Derry: Doherty B.
(Red Card)
Stott J.
(Red Card)
Winchester C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Keena A.
(Injury)
Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against St Patricks Athletic?
Derry City has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Derry City?
St Patricks Athletic has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
23.06.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
0:1
05.05.2025
Derry City
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
03.03.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
2:0
25.10.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Derry City
1:0
21.07.2024
Derry City
-
St Patricks Athletic
3:0
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 48:24 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | Derry City | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Waterford | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 33:50 | -17 | 34 |
| 8 | Galway | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | Cork City | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
