Result
3:1
23/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (303/359) | 82% (367/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (303/359) | 82% (367/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 68% (88/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. ⚽,
- 35', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 39', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Bennevendo P. (A),
- 65', Lopez R. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
- 65', Fulgencio R. ↓, Madson ↑,
- 66', Martinez G. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 68', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 1, Pizarro R. ⚽, Puma (A),
- 77', Nathan Silva 🟨,
- 82', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 85', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 90', Trigos S. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 90+1', Pizarro R. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Guilherme Castilho ⚽, Puma (A),
Chances of winning
Juárez
32% | Draw
29.5% | UNAM
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3%)
Juárez - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.45) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
2.48 ↓
(2.57) |
5.4%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juárez - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 4 - 50%). UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juárez: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 50%). UNAM (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Juárez (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). UNAM (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
Ruvalcaba J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Madson
(Muscle Injury)
Nevarez Pulgarin F. J.
(Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury)
Valoyes D.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against UNAM?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Juárez?
UNAM has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - UNAM were as follows:
27.04.2025
Juárez
-
UNAM
1:2
12.04.2025
UNAM
-
Juárez
0:0
17.07.2024
Juárez
-
UNAM
1:2
14.01.2024
UNAM
-
Juárez
1:0
22.08.2023
Juárez
-
UNAM
4:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
