Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (190/263) | 85% (324/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.27 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.37 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 72% (190/263) | 85% (324/383) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (29/64) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (57/90) | 65% (65/100) |
| Crosses |
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| 21% (4/19) | 29% (10/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.50 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 77% (10/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
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| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.07 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.07 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', Otavio Gut 🟨,
- 40', Cossio A. 🟨,
- 44', Perleche A. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 46', Castro R. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 63', Fernandez S. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 63', Cossio A. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
- 71', Escobar J. ↓, Sernaque J. ↑,
- 71', Campodonico R. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 71', Perleche E. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
- 76', Ramirez N. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
- 79', Ynamine P. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 0, Mena Y. ⚽, Sernaque J. (A),
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
37.1% | Draw
29.3% | Alianza Atlético
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+18.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(1.73) |
3.17 ↓
(3.6) |
2.77 ↓
(4.7) |
7.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 48.9% – 84.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Alianza Atlético (votes: 7 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Atlético will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Alianza Universidad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alianza Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against Alianza Atlético?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Alianza Atlético has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
