Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandIlves TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineUPL TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
03
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
217
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
213
Blocked Shots
01
Corner Kicks
15
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
189
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
819
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Tobias V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Eguinaldo , Shved M. ,
  • 55', Tobias V. , Gocholeishvili G. ,
  • 58', Popovitch A. , Veteli J. ,
  • 58', Ulundu V. , Jukkola O. ,
  • 68', Bondarenko A. , Sudakov G. ,
  • 68', Traore L. , Kaua Elias ,
  • 68', Stjopin M. , Akinyemi A. ,
  • 68', Aspegren F. , Tiitinen O. ,
  • 70', Jukkola O. 🟨,
  • 81', Pedrinho , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 83', Kanga J. , Soderback M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ilves
15%
Draw
20.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 22% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 21.3% 57.9%

Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
6.33
(4.2)
4.59
(4.22)
1.45
(1.65)
6.8%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 61.5%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-6. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    05.07.2025 SJK - Ilves 1:1
    02.07.2025 Ilves - KTP Kotka 2:1
    18.06.2025 Ilves - SJK 2:3
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland440011:3812
    2Freiburg43108:3510
    3Ferencvaros43108:4410
    4Celta Vigo43019:459
    5Braga43018:449
    6Aston Villa43016:249
    7Lyon43015:239
    8Plzen42206:248
    9Betis42206:248
    10PAOK42119:637
    11Brann42115:237
    12Din. Zagreb42117:617
    13Genk42115:417
    14FC Porto42114:407
    15Fenerbahce42114:407
    16Panathinaikos42027:616
    17Basel42026:516
    18AS Roma42025:416
    19Lille42026:606
    20Stuttgart42024:406
    21G.A. Eagles42024:5-16
    22Young Boys42026:10-46
    23Nottingham41216:515
    24Bologna41213:305
    25Sturm Graz41123:5-24
    26Crvena zvezda41123:5-24
    27Celtic41124:7-34
    28Salzburg41034:6-23
    29Feyenoord41033:6-33
    30Ludogorets41035:9-43
    31FCSB41033:7-43
    32Utrecht40131:5-41
    33Malmo FF40132:7-51
    34Maccabi Tel Aviv40131:8-71
    35Nice40044:9-50
    36Rangers40041:8-70

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)