Auda Riga vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Skonto stadions (Riga).

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV

Match Stats


Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
27	12
Shots on target
10	4
Corner Kicks
9	4
Yellow Cards
1	2
Total shots
27	12
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
7	3
Corner Kicks
9	4
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	12
Throw-ins
33	36
Fouls
12	8
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Randall M. 🟨,
20', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Rubenis O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kone K. ↓, Monteiro E. ↑,
46', McEneff J. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, McKendry C. ⚽, Randall M. (A),
53', 2 - 1, Monteiro E. ⚽, Rubenis O. (A),
63', Nolan R. ↓, Ridley M. ↑,
65', Rubenis O. ↓, Ramiro J. ↑,
65', Traore A. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
66', 2 - 2, O'Neill P. ⚽, Sloan D. (A),
76', Monteiro E. 🟨,
78', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
78', McKendry C. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
90', Hrvoj T. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
102', Ramiro J. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
106', Lusty M. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
106', Cosgrove T. ↓, Kee J. ↑,
120', Jackson Kenio ↓, Camara O. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Gallagher C. (Pen),
1, Nguena K. (Pen),
2, O'Neill P. (Pen),
2, Jeudi S. (Pen),
3, Bent D. (Pen),
3, Varslavans R. (Pen),
4, O'Connor T. (Pen),
4, Camara O. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Auda Riga
53.3%

Draw
26.1%

Larne
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auda Riga's performance.

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Auda Riga - Larne Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	4.49 ↑ (3.61)	7.9% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Larne?

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 58.7% – 87.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 6 - 50%). Larne (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Larne?

Auda Riga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Auda Riga?

Larne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Larne were as follows:

10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0

Latest results of Auda Riga

10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Auda Riga - Riga 1:3 ✺

22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Larne

10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Stranraer - Larne 0:1 ✺

17.06.2025 Larne - The New Saints 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Larne - Glentoran 0:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Buducnost	Bye
2	Bye	Milsami
4	Bye	Virtus
5	Vikingur	Bye
7	Zalgiris	Bye
8	Bye	Linfield
9	TNS	Bye
10	Bye	Differdange
11	Levadia	Bye
12	Bye	Iberia 1999
13	O. Ljubljana	Bye
14	Bye	Inter Escaldes
15	Din. Minsk	Bye
16	Bye	Egnatia
17	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
18	Bye	SK Rapid
19	Dundee Utd	Bye
20	Bye	UNA Strassen
21	Aktobe	Bye
22	Bye	Sparta Prague
23	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
24	Bye	U. Cluj
25	Ilves	Bye
26	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
27	Vaduz	Bye
28	Bye	Dungannon
33	Radnicki 1923	Bye
34	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
35	Kosice	Bye
36	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
37	Riga FC	Bye
38	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
39	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
40	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
41	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
42	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
43	HB Torshavn	Bye
44	Bye	Brondby
45	Zira	Bye
46	Bye	Hajduk Split
47	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
48	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
53	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
54	Bye	Lausanne
55	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
56	Bye	FC Astana
57	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
58	Bye	Prishtina
59	Varazdin	Bye
60	Bye	Santa Clara
61	Aris	Bye
62	Bye	Puskas Academy
63	AEK Athens FC	Bye
64	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
65	Viking	Bye
66	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
67	Cherno More	Bye
68	Bye	Basaksehir
69	Araz	Bye
70	Bye	Aris
71	Omonia	Bye
72	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
73	FC Ballkani	Bye
74	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
75	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
76	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
77	Rakow	Bye
78	Bye	Zilina
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	AIK	Bye
82	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
83	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
84	Bye	Gyor
85	FK Sarajevo	Bye
86	Bye	Univ. Craiova
87	Hibernians	Bye
88	Bye	Trnava
89	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
90	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
91	Paks	Bye
92	Bye	Maribor
95	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
96	Bye	Sabah Baku
97	Silkeborg	Bye
98	Bye	KA Akureyri
99	Novi Pazar	Bye
100	Bye	Jagiellonia
101	Oleksandriya	Bye
102	Bye	Partizan
107	Austria Vienna	Bye
108	Bye	Spaeri
109	Rosenborg	Bye
110	Bye	Banga
111	Hammarby	Bye
112	Bye	Charleroi
113	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
114	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
117	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
118	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
119	Arda	Bye
120	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Buducnost	Milsami
2	Bye	Virtus
3	Vikingur	Bye
4	Zalgiris	Linfield
5	TNS	Differdange
6	Levadia	Iberia 1999
7	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes
8	Din. Minsk	Egnatia
9	Decic	SK Rapid
10	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
11	Aktobe	Sparta Prague
12	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
13	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar
14	Vaduz	Dungannon
17	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik
18	Kosice	Neman
19	Riga FC	Dila Gori
20	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem
21	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik
22	HB Torshavn	Brondby
23	Zira	Hajduk Split
24	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana
27	Vardar	Lausanne
28	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
29	Larne	Prishtina
30	Varazdin	Santa Clara
31	Aris	Puskas Academy
32	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva
33	Viking	Koper
34	Cherno More	Basaksehir
35	Araz	Aris
36	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi
37	FC Ballkani	Floriana
38	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers
39	Rakow	Zilina
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa
41	AIK	Paide
42	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor
43	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
44	Hibernians	Trnava
45	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma
46	Paks	Maribor
48	Petrocub	Sabah Baku
49	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
50	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
51	Oleksandriya	Partizan
54	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
55	Rosenborg	Banga
56	Hammarby	Charleroi
57	St. Patricks	Kalju
59	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur
60	Arda	HJK

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	Virtus
2	Vikingur	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
14	TBD #27	TBD #28
15	TBD #29	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	TBD #32
17	TBD #33	TBD #34
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	TBD #42
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	TBD #45	TBD #46
24	Bye	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	TBD #50
26	TBD #51	Bye
27	Bye	TBD #54
28	TBD #55	TBD #56
29	TBD #57	Bye
30	TBD #59	TBD #60