Result
2:3 penalties
16/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Randall M. 🟨,
- 20', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Rubenis O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kone K. ↓, Monteiro E. ↑,
- 46', McEneff J. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, McKendry C. ⚽, Randall M. (A),
- 53', 2 - 1, Monteiro E. ⚽, Rubenis O. (A),
- 63', Nolan R. ↓, Ridley M. ↑,
- 65', Rubenis O. ↓, Ramiro J. ↑,
- 65', Traore A. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, O'Neill P. ⚽, Sloan D. (A),
- 76', Monteiro E. 🟨,
- 78', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 78', McKendry C. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 90', Hrvoj T. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 102', Ramiro J. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 106', Lusty M. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 106', Cosgrove T. ↓, Kee J. ↑,
- 120', Jackson Kenio ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Gallagher C. (Pen),
- 1, Nguena K. (Pen),
- 2, O'Neill P. (Pen),
- 2, Jeudi S. (Pen),
- 3, Bent D. (Pen),
- 3, Varslavans R. (Pen),
- 4, O'Connor T. (Pen),
- 4, Camara O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Auda Riga
53.3% | Draw
26.1% | Larne
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auda Riga's performance.Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Auda Riga - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.95) |
3.52 ↑
(3.4) |
4.49 ↑
(3.61) |
7.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Larne?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 58.7% – 87.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Larne (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Auda (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- TQ, OT - Auda (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Auda (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Auda (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Auda (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Auda (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Larne (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Larne (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Larne?
Auda Riga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Auda Riga?
Larne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Larne were as follows:
10.07.2025
Larne
-
Auda Riga
0:0
Latest results of Auda Riga
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
