Flora Tallinn vs Valur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
55
Corner Kicks
41
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1917
Throw-ins
3416
Fouls
1116
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
  • 27', Poom M. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Haraldsson T. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Sappinen R. , Poom M. (A),
  • 42', Omarsson O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Tovstik S. 🟨,
  • 67', Haraldsson T. , Heimisson L. ,
  • 67', Zenjov S. , Lepik M. ,
  • 67', Mihhailov N. , Kuraksin D. ,
  • 67', Sigurdsson K. , Skoglund A. ,
  • 71', Sappinen R. 🟨,
  • 76', Larusson S. , Palsson J. ,
  • 76', Palsson A. , Kjartansson O. ,
  • 79', Tovstik S. , Lukka M. ,
  • 82', Schram F. , Agustsson S. ,
  • 90+1', Heimisson L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Jonsson J. ,
  • 90+7', Teevali T. , Kalimullin M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flora Tallinn
29.9%
Draw
25.1%
Valur
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 25.7% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 25.4% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Flora Tallinn - Valur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.88)
    3.67
    (3.59)
    2.08
    (2.19)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn - Valur?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Valur will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Valur (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Flora (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Flora (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Valur (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
    • Flora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Valur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Valur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Flora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flora Tallinn - Valur were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Valur - Flora Tallinn 3:0
    Latest results of Flora Tallinn
    Latest results of Valur
    10.07.2025 Valur - Flora Tallinn 3:0
    05.07.2025 Vestri - Valur 0:2
    01.07.2025 Valur - Stjarnan 3:1
    27.06.2025 KA Akureyri - Valur 0:2
    23.06.2025 Valur - KR Reykjavík 6:1
    Draw
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