Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (307/366) | 81% (307/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (307/366) | 81% (307/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (83/116) | 68% (60/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Thayllon ⚽, Carlao (A),
- 14', Matheus Trindade 🟨,
- 30', Albano 🟨,
- 40', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 41', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Marcinho ⚽, Felipinho (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 57', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 58', Albano ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 58', Netinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 66', Diego Goncalves ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 66', Yan Souto ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 67', Thayllon ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 67', Juninho ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Jean Carlos ⚽, Felipinho (A),
- 80', Matheus Trindade ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
- 80', Marcinho ↓, Benevenuto ↑,
- 83', Ricardinho ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 87', Joao Carlos ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
- 89', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 90+3', Wesley Pomba 🟨,
- 90+4', Leo Alaba 🟨,
Chances of winning
Criciúma
49.5% | Draw
29.4% | Ferroviária
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Criciúma - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.83) |
3.18 ↑
(3.1) |
4.45 ↓
(4.75) |
6.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Criciúma - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 14).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Criciúma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Criciúma is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Thales
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Ze Mario
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
Heitor Roca
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Ferroviária?
Criciúma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Criciúma?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
