Result
5:2
07/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 5
- Referee: Guitaldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 7 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/381) | 74% (241/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/381) | 74% (241/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 25% (13/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (102/135) | 57% (49/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -2.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Omarsdottir I. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
- 10', Heatley W. 🟨,
- 22', Heatley W. 🟨,
- 29', Kuhl K. ↓, Di Guglielmo L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Dragoni G. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Van Der Zanden I. (A),
- 55', 3 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Cherubini M. (A),
- 61', Viens E. ↓, Corelli A. ↑,
- 61', Thogersen F. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Haavi E. ⚽, Greggi G. (A),
- 66', 4 - 1, Bergamaschi V. (Own goal),
- 71', 4 - 2, Giugliano M. (Pen),
- 72', Giugliano M. 🟨,
- 74', Cherubini M. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
- 74', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
- 74', Lombardi E. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
- 83', Haavi E. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
- 87', Bredgaard S. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
- 90+1', Galli G. 🟨,
- 90+5', 5 - 2, Woldvik E. ⚽, Bonfantini A. (A),
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
26.7% | Draw
25.1% | Roma
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fiorentina - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↓
(3.79) |
3.66 ↓
(3.92) |
1.91 ↑
(1.79) |
8.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 0.
- Fiorentina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Roma is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:47. (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Roma?
Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Fiorentina?
Roma has won 11 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Roma were as follows:
10.05.2025
Fiorentina
-
Roma
0:1
29.03.2025
Roma
-
Fiorentina
2:0
09.02.2025
Fiorentina
-
Roma
0:0
06.01.2025
Roma
-
Fiorentina
3:1
09.11.2024
Roma
-
Fiorentina
1:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 29:14 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lazio W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Como W | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Ternana W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 11 |
| 11 | Parma W | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
