Result
0:0
19/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (426/494) | 78% (275/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (426/494) | 78% (275/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 25% (15/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (91/124) | 62% (54/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Wu D. 🟨,
- 37', Wu D. 🟨,
- 41', Nick Firmino ↓, Burks K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Midence A. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
- 67', Lopez R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 78', Kleemann F. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 78', Willey B. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 78', Epps M. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
- 90+2', Parano C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gurr J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 90+3', Herrera J. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
53% | Draw
27% | Lexington
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Sacramento Republic - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.71) |
3.42 ↓
(3.69) |
4.61 ↑
(4.49) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- Sacramento Republic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lexington is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Lexington?
Sacramento Republic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Sacramento Republic?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Lexington were as follows:
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
