Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
- 15', Diaz A. 🟨,
- 21', Yori E. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
- 34', Sanchez D. 🟨,
- 37', Diaz A. ↓, Lovato N. ↑,
- 38', Echeverria Perez A. J. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
- 38', Morales A. ↓, Vivas J. ↑,
- 43', 3 - 0, Almanza J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Soriano B. 🟨,
- 48', 3 - 1, Ibarguen E. ⚽,
- 57', Morales H. 🟨,
- 58', Gilder Otoniel C. ↓, Lon A. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 2, Monterroso C. ⚽,
- 74', Mingorance P. ↓, Batres J. ↑,
- 74', Soriano B. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
- 75', Arboine K. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 82', Avalos V. ↓, Robles Hristopher ↑,
- 82', Morales H. ↓, Aguilar K. ↑,
- 90+2', Vivas J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ypz7waza
Chances of winning
Deportivo Guastatoya
41.1% | Draw
30.7% | Aurora
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Guastatoya's form might have worsened.Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Guastatoya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(1.92) |
2.92 ↓
(3.25) |
3.1 ↓
(3.8) |
9.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Guastatoya has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aurora is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Guastatoya could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guastatoya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Guastatoya won against Aurora?
Deportivo Guastatoya has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Deportivo Guastatoya?
Aurora has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora were as follows:
20.07.2025
Aurora
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Municipal | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Antigua | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Aurora F.C | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Mictlan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Malacateco | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo Achuapa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Marquense | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:26 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
