Result
1:1
28/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Lucas Mila 🟨,
- 23', Everton Morelli 🟨,
- 27', Max Miller 🟨,
- 34', Leo Pereira ↓, Julio Henrique ↑,
- 45', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 65', Fabricio Dias ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
- 65', Lucas Mila ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 65', Rafael Silva ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
- 69', Ianson ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 71', Danielzinho ↓, Jhow Alecxander ↑,
- 74', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
- 74', 🟨,
- 76', Fernando 🟨,
- 78', Ze Vitor ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
- 79', Maranhao ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira (Pen),
- 84', Buga ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 90', Joao Felix 🟨,
- 90+1', Kaike 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
35.6% | Draw
30.7% | Maringá
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maringá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maringá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tombense - Maringá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.13) |
2.97 ↓
(3.08) |
2.71 ↓
(3.23) |
9.5%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tombense - Maringá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 16).
- Tombense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Maringá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Maringá?
Tombense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maringá won against Tombense?
Maringá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Maringá were as follows:
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of Maringá
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | Londrina | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Nautico | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15:6 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | Brusque | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Ypiranga FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | CSA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Floresta EC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Ituano | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Guarani | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Maringa FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | ABC | 15 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Confianca | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 19 | Retro | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
