Real Pilar vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Zoratti G. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Vera I. ,
  • 58', Cesar J. , Martin B. ,
  • 58', Vergara D. , Risso B. ,
  • 63', Schiavulli T. , Mosca N. ,
  • 63', Scaramuzzi E. , Arciero R. ,
  • 65', Rios N. , Smith I. ,
  • 65', Crocco M. , Ochoa J. ,
  • 71', Damiolini N. , Martinez M. ,
  • 73', Leguiza D. , Govi G. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Risso B. ,
  • 77', Ochoa J. 🟨,
  • 81', Arciero R. 🟨,
  • 84', Vera I. , Maizarez I. ,
  • 84', Zarate J. , Sosa F. ,
  • 84', Risso B. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Maizarez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Pilar
43.4%
Draw
31.6%
Excursionistas
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Real Pilar - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.75)
    2.91
    (3.48)
    3.67
    (4.26)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Real Pilar - Excursionistas?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Pilar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Pilar - Excursionistas were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 0:0
    10.06.2023 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 2:3
    06.02.2023 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 1:2
    24.09.2022 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 3:1
    Latest results of Real Pilar
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi962117:41320
    2Excursionistas962111:4720
    3Villa Dalmine953113:5818
    4Sportivo Italiano953112:7518
    5Real Pilar960315:11418
    6Argentino de Merlo95138:6216
    7Talleres (R.E)94327:4315
    8San Martin Burzaco935114:7714
    9Deportivo Camioneros93427:6113
    10Comunicaciones93336:7-112
    11Dep. Merlo933311:13-212
    12Liniers93248:11-311
    13Laferrere932410:15-511
    14Deportivo Armenio93157:11-410
    15UAI Urquiza91626:609
    16Flandria93068:14-69
    17Brown Adrogue92345:13-89
    18Defensores Unidos91538:9-18
    19Argentino de Quilmes91448:11-37
    20Dock Sud91447:10-37
    21Villa San Carlos91358:13-56
    22Ituzaingo90365:14-93

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