Oldham Athletic vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.790.98
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
82
Passes
62% (259/416)52% (151/289)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.790.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.98
Total shots
139
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
910
Passes
62% (259/416)52% (151/289)
Long passes
32% (32/99)22% (21/97)
Passes in final third
53% (90/170)41% (55/135)
Crosses
21% (6/28)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.14
Throw ins
3926
Fouls
109
Tackles
58% (11/19)44% (4/9)
Duels won
7259
Clearances
2549
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.980.48
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ekpiteta M. , Nelson C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Taylor K. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 56', Kavanagh C. , Garner J. ,
  • 64', Collins A. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 65', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 72', Nelson C. 🟨,
  • 74', Kelly L. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. , Hawkes J. (A),
  • 85', Pett T. , Payne K. ,
  • 85', Drummond K. , Hammond O. ,
  • 90', Jones G. , Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 90', Nemane A. , Tomlinson J. ,

Chances of winning


Oldham Athletic
33.6%
Draw
29.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 28.1% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 28.4% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.9)
    3.18
    (3.25)
    2.51
    (2.27)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
    • Oldham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Mellon M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J. (Injury) Ogle R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Hamstring Injury) Lemonheigh-Evans C. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 3:1
    02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley422314567:412683
    2MK Dons422113877:423576
    3Notts Co422371271:452676
    4Cambridge Utd412014758:312774
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford422341557:50773
    7Chesterfield411814963:521168
    8Crewe421991461:501166
    9Oldham4117141052:351765
    10Grimsby4018111159:431665
    11Barnet4217131257:471064
    12Walsall4217111452:46662
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4214131551:53-255
    15Bristol Rovers421642246:62-1652
    16Accrington411491840:46-651
    17Gillingham4112131648:60-1249
    18Shrewsbury421282239:66-2744
    19Cheltenham4011101944:67-2343
    20Crawley428132140:62-2237
    21Tranmere41992348:71-2336
    22Newport42972641:72-3134
    23Barrow41892438:65-2733
    24Harrogate42892534:64-3033

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League