Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (220/322) | 65% (233/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (220/322) | 65% (233/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (46/108) | 24% (17/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (76/132) | 63% (112/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 41% (12/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Drummond K. ⚽, Payne K. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Hutchinson R. ⚽, Holicek M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lankester J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 46', Payne K. ↓, Kavanagh C. ↑,
- 46', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
- 60', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 74', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 75', Pond A. 🟨,
- 75', Sutton W. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
- 83', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Holicek M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Holicek M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sanders M. H. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
34.2% | Draw
28.6% | Oldham Athletic
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.39) |
3.28 ↓
(3.36) |
2.51 ↓
(2.77) |
6.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Oldham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
- Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oldham is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Crewe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Kavanagh C.
(Inactive)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Oldham Athletic?
Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Crewe Alexandra?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
15.11.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
