Portland Hearts of Pine vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Portland Hearts of Pine - Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Result
3:2 penalties
25/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.36
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
02
Passes
59% (98/166)78% (270/344)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.50
Total shots
514
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
02
Touches in opposition box
323
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
59% (98/166)78% (270/344)
Long passes
22% (12/55)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
34% (16/47)66% (70/106)
Crosses
0% (0/5)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.021.36
Throw-ins
2618
Fouls
97
Tackles
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Duels won
2831
Clearances
2311
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.500.16
Goals prevented
0.500.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Oladapo K. 🟥,
  • 31', Reilly M. , Morse H. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Sample B. , Walti J. ,
  • 46', Biasi L. , Vacter G. ,
  • 51', Wright S. 🟨,
  • 55', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
  • 61', James N. , Washington T. ,
  • 61', Varela W. , Wright O. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Washington T. ,
  • 65', Southern E. 🟨,
  • 67', Southern E. , Kamara J. ,
  • 67', Poon-Angeron M. , Wada M. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Jacquesson B. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Wright O. , Washington T. (A),
  • 75', 2 - 2, Jacquesson B. (Pen),
  • 82', Bouregy J. , Linzoain P. ,
  • 87', Wright O. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Broughton M. (Pen),
  • 1, Wright O. (Pen),
  • 2, Garcia J. (Pen),
  • 2, Kamara J. (Pen),
  • 3, Ahl C. (Pen),
  • 3, Wada M. (Pen),
  • 4, Griffin D. (Pen),
  • 4, Washington T. (Pen),
  • 5, Suber S. (Pen),
  • 5, Langlois P. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
25.9%
Draw
24.7%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 22.9% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 22.6% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (3.11)
    3.73
    (3.98)
    1.86
    (1.9)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Hearts of Pine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pittsburgh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • Pittsburgh could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.