Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.17
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
73% (195/268)86% (559/649)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.13
Total shots
186
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
3711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
73% (195/268)86% (559/649)
Long passes
31% (17/54)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
67% (66/98)66% (84/127)
Crosses
33% (7/21)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.50
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1010
Tackles
75% (9/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
2829
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.131.60
Goals prevented
0.130.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Biasi L. 🟨,
  • 72', Walti J. , Sample B. ,
  • 72', Ahl C. , Jacquesson B. ,
  • 72', Biasi L. , Etou B. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Mertz R. ,
  • 73', Akale M. , Gaines M. ,
  • 73', Vargas M. , Amang T. ,
  • 87', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
  • 87', Barnes P. 🟨,
  • 87', Bailey Z. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 88', Seymore W. , Gloster C. ,
  • 88', Mertz R. , Broughton M. ,
  • 90+3', Williams A. , Bouregy J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Riverhounds
47.9%
Draw
28.4%
New Mexico United
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 28.9% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.8% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.4)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    3.87
    (2.85)
    9%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • Pittsburgh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United were as follows:
    09.03.2024 New Mexico United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0
    23.09.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United 2:1
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)