Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.38
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
73% (394/542)51% (158/310)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.31
Total shots
176
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
167
Passes
73% (394/542)51% (158/310)
Long passes
32% (29/91)27% (26/95)
Passes in final third
57% (101/177)42% (42/99)
Crosses
42% (8/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.35
Throw-ins
3325
Fouls
716
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (14/22)
Duels won
7268
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.310.77
Goals prevented
0.31-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 55', Scully A. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 62', Walker J. , Green K. ,
  • 68', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 69', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 73', Burns D. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 73', Soonsup-Bell J. , Kabia J. ,
  • 73', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ,
  • 83', Kabia I. , McDermott T. ,
  • 90', Sang T. , Aneke Ch. ,
  • 90+1', Perry T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54%
Draw
25%
Shrewsbury Town
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.4% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.82)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    4.43
    (3.97)
    7.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 21).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town 1:1
    12.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town 3:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley422314567:412683
    2MK Dons422113877:423576
    3Notts Co422371271:452676
    4Cambridge Utd412014758:312774
    5Swindon422281267:481974
    6Salford422341557:50773
    7Chesterfield411814963:521168
    8Crewe421991461:501166
    9Oldham4117141052:351765
    10Grimsby4018111159:431665
    11Barnet4217131257:471064
    12Walsall4217111452:46662
    13Colchester4115121453:45857
    14Fleetwood4214131551:53-255
    15Bristol Rovers421642246:62-1652
    16Accrington411491840:46-651
    17Gillingham4112131648:60-1249
    18Shrewsbury421282239:66-2744
    19Cheltenham4011101944:67-2343
    20Crawley428132140:62-2237
    21Tranmere41992348:71-2336
    22Newport42972641:72-3134
    23Barrow41892438:65-2733
    24Harrogate42892534:64-3033

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League