Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 23
  • Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.38
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
73% (394/542)51% (158/310)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.31
Total shots
176
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
167
Passes
73% (394/542)51% (158/310)
Long passes
32% (29/91)27% (26/95)
Passes in final third
57% (101/177)42% (42/99)
Crosses
42% (8/19)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.35
Throw-ins
3325
Fouls
716
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (14/22)
Duels won
7268
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.310.77
Goals prevented
0.31-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 55', Scully A. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 62', Walker J. , Green K. ,
  • 68', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 69', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 73', Burns D. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 73', Soonsup-Bell J. , Kabia J. ,
  • 73', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Amaluzor J. ,
  • 83', Kabia I. , McDermott T. ,
  • 90', Sang T. , Aneke Ch. ,
  • 90+1', Perry T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54%
Draw
25%
Shrewsbury Town
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.4% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.82)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    4.43
    (3.97)
    7.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grimsby Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 21).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town 1:1
    12.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town 3:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MK Dons ✔ 452413885:444185
    2Bromley ✔ 452315768:452384
    3Cambridge Utd452215866:333381
    4Salford452551561:511080
    5Notts Co452471473:512279
    6Grimsby4522111273:492477
    7Chesterfield452016969:551476
    8Swindon452291469:571275
    9Barnet4520131268:521673
    10Crewe451991764:58666
    11Oldham4517141457:441365
    12Walsall4518111655:53265
    13Colchester4517121658:481063
    14Bristol Rovers451942255:64-961
    15Fleetwood4515151556:57-160
    16Accrington4514112047:55-853
    17Cheltenham4514102152:75-2352
    18Gillingham4512141952:72-2050
    19Shrewsbury4513102242:68-2649
    20Tranmere4510102553:78-2540
    21Newport451172746:76-3040
    22Crawley458152244:68-2439
    23Harrogate451092638:66-2839
    24Barrow45992744:76-3236

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One
    Bromley is Qualified for League One