Result
2:1 penalties
07/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (366/470) | 78% (345/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (366/470) | 78% (345/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/63) | 68% (48/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (78/143) | 77% (107/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/13) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 32% (7/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Murillo J. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Nealis D. ⚽, Morales M. (A),
- 55', Puma ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
- 55', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 60', Edelman D. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
- 60', Rojas A. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
- 61', Carmona W. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
- 74', Madson ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
- 74', Ricardinho ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 75', Bogacz W. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
- 75', Hall J. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 84', Morales M. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (A),
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
- 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 2, Eile N. (Pen),
- 2, Pizarro R. (Pen),
- 3, Morales M. (Pen),
- 3, Garcia D. (Pen),
- 4, Parker T. (Pen),
- 4, Fulgencio R. (Pen),
- 5, Forsberg E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls
42.1% | Draw
26.4% | Juárez
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New York Red Bulls - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.77) |
3.51 ↑
(3.25) |
2.94 ↓
(3.25) |
8%
(18%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
- NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Juárez?
New York Red Bulls has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against New York Red Bulls?
Juárez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Juárez were as follows:
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
CONCACAF League Cup Table
MainLiga MX | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Puebla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Juarez | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Club America | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 | Club Leon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 17 | Atlas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
MLS | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Charlotte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 16 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 17 | CF Montreal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 18 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
