Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (220/333) | 64% (189/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (220/333) | 64% (189/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (42/90) | 36% (32/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (93/167) | 54% (68/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Snowdon J. ⚽,
- 19', 0 - 2, Nichols T. ⚽, Snowdon J. (A),
- 23', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 2, Quigley J. ⚽, Conlon T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', McGregor J. 🟨,
- 61', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 61', Sutton W. ↓, Morris K. ↑,
- 69', Hannant L. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 75', Nichols T. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 75', Ehibhatiomhan P. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 75', Snowdon J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 82', Drinan A. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 84', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
- 90+2', Wright W. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic
32.6% | Draw
29.2% | Swindon Town
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.62) |
3.32 ↑
(3.25) |
2.5 ↓
(2.66) |
3.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
Oldham Athletic will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oldham Athletic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 0.
- Oldham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Swindon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Swindon: Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Ehibhatiomhan P.
(Injury)
Ripley C.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Swindon Town?
Oldham Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Swindon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town were as follows:
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
