Oldham Athletic vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Boundary Park (Oldham).

League Two - Round 27
Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.97	1.89
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	7
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
5	6
Passes
65% (215/329)	71% (281/394)
Yellow cards
4	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.97	1.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	1.70
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
14	13
Passes
65% (215/329)	71% (281/394)
Long passes
44% (43/98)	31% (27/88)
Passes in final third
54% (62/115)	58% (78/135)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.68
Throw ins
23	22
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
63% (12/19)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
80	59
Clearances
32	34
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.70	0.74
Goals prevented
0.70	-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Thomas J. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 1, Garner J. ⚽, Woods R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hannant L. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Payne K. ⚽,
72', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
73', Woods R. 🟨,
74', Drummond K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
75', Garner J. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
83', Quigley J. 🟨,
85', Hawkes J. 🟨,
86', Miller G. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
86', Nurse G. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
90+1', Caprice J. 🟨,
90+5', Kinsella L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oldham Athletic
52.2%

Draw
28.3%

Cheltenham Town
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.3 ↓ (3.54)	4.72 ↑ (4.09)	7.5% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
Oldham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cheltenham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
In this match, Oldham is the team to beat.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Hawkes J. (Injury)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Sherring S. (Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Cheltenham Town?

Oldham Athletic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Oldham Athletic?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

20.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic 0:3

Latest results of Oldham Athletic

01.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Walsall - Oldham Athletic 1:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers 3:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Crawley Town - Oldham Athletic 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

10.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Leicester City 0:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 4:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town 0:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town 3:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	MK Dons ✔	45	24	13	8	85:44	41	85
2	Bromley ✔	45	23	15	7	68:45	23	84
3	Cambridge Utd	45	22	15	8	66:33	33	81
4	Salford	45	25	5	15	61:51	10	80
5	Notts Co	45	24	7	14	73:51	22	79
6	Grimsby	45	22	11	12	73:49	24	77
7	Chesterfield	45	20	16	9	69:55	14	76
8	Swindon	45	22	9	14	69:57	12	75
9	Barnet	45	20	13	12	68:52	16	73
10	Crewe	45	19	9	17	64:58	6	66
11	Oldham	45	17	14	14	57:44	13	65
12	Walsall	45	18	11	16	55:53	2	65
13	Colchester	45	17	12	16	58:48	10	63
14	Bristol Rovers	45	19	4	22	55:64	-9	61
15	Fleetwood	45	15	15	15	56:57	-1	60
16	Accrington	45	14	11	20	47:55	-8	53
17	Cheltenham	45	14	10	21	52:75	-23	52
18	Gillingham	45	12	14	19	52:72	-20	50
19	Shrewsbury	45	13	10	22	42:68	-26	49
20	Tranmere	45	10	10	25	53:78	-25	40
21	Newport	45	11	7	27	46:76	-30	40
22	Crawley	45	8	15	22	44:68	-24	39
23	Harrogate	45	10	9	26	38:66	-28	39
24	Barrow	45	9	9	27	44:76	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One