Result
0:0
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (445/527) | 76% (244/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (445/527) | 76% (244/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (92/133) | 53% (33/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Linetty K. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
- 46', Yuksel C. ↓, Ntcham O. ↑,
- 62', Show 🟨,
- 65', Bingol T. 🟨,
- 68', Marius ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
- 68', Tavsan E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 68', Bingol T. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
- 71', Kayan Y. 🟨,
- 74', Assoumou J. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,
- 79', Agyei D. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 88', Petkovic B. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
40.3% | Draw
31.8% | Kocaelispor
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Samsunspor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.06) |
2.95 ↓
(3.3) |
3.39 ↓
(3.7) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Samsunspor (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Samsunspor has had a series of away games.
- Samsunspor might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Holse C.
(Inactive)
Van Drongelen R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Kocaelispor?
Samsunspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Samsunspor?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
16.08.2025
Kocaelispor
-
Samsunspor
0:1
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 66:21 | 45 | 67 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 46 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 37:47 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25:38 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 26:48 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
