Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Naval
40.5% | Draw
30.5% | SB Castelo Branco
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Naval - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25
(2.25) |
2.99 ↓
(3) |
3.15 ↑
(3) |
9.7%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In recent matches, Naval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Naval has had a series of away games.
- Naval could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 1:5.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against SB Castelo Branco?
Naval has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Naval?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
17.08.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Naval
1:0
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
