Result
1:3
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 3
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 1 - 0, Smalley B. ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Wardle J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 3, Bell L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
38.5% | Draw
29.8% | Marine
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Merthyr Town - Marine Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.09) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
2.91 ↓
(3.52) |
8.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Marine?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merthyr (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Merthyr is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Marine has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Marine?
Merthyr Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marine won against Merthyr Town?
Marine has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Marine were as follows:
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 26:5 | 21 | 32 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33:16 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Scarborough | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 4 | 26 |
| 4 | Radcliffe | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 30:15 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Spennymoor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:21 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Chorley | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Buxton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Macclesfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Worksop | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Chester | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Hereford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 14 |
| 17 | Darlington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
| 18 | AFC Telford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Bedford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 20 | Leamington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Alfreton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Oxford City | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
