Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Rai K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Cox C. ,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Dolan M. ,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Mondal J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Taylor G. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
47%
Draw
23.9%
Spennymoor Town
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 23.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 22.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.98)
    3.85
    (3.85)
    3.21
    (3.06)
    7.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Merthyr has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Spennymoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Merthyr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town 6:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    10.03.2026 Merthyr Town - Chester 1:2
    07.03.2026 Radcliffe - Merthyr Town 1:3
    28.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Buxton 1:3
    24.02.2026 Leamington - Merthyr Town 1:2
    Latest results of Spennymoor Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)