Result
 
                    0:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 27
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 China | Migu | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.98 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 60% | 40% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (330/412) | 73% (205/282) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.98 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.72 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 14 | 20 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 17 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (330/412) | 73% (205/282) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 44% (20/45) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 61% (54/88) | 55% (51/93) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 43% (3/7) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.88 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 13 | 16 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 16 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 54% (7/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 31 | 35 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 20 | 17 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.28 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.28 | 0.28 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 34', Chen W. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 3)
 - 46', Nurlan Nurzat ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑, 
 - 46', Sun Fei ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑, 
 - 46', Zhao Ran ↓, Li Xin ↑, 
 - 46', 0 - 1, Li L. ⚽, Huang Z. (A), 
 - 51', Huang Wenzhuo 🟨, 
 - 53', 0 - 2, Li L. ⚽, Zhong Wen (A), 
 - 55', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑, 
 - 63', Li Xin 🟨, 
 - 64', He Youzu ↓, Musajan Musajan ↑, 
 - 73', Chen Z. 🟨, 
 - 77', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Erlan Ghulaht ↑, 
 - 77', 0 - 3, Zhong Wen ⚽, Jiang W. (A), 
 - 78', Erkin Ababekri 🟨, 
 - 83', Li L. ↓, Lu C. ↑, 
 - 83', Chen W. ↓, Hu H. ↑, 
 - 84', Ma Bokang 🟨, 
 - 88', Zhong Wen ↓, Shi Z. ↑, 
 - 88', Li Mingjie ↓, Liu Q. ↑, 
 - 89', Xu Zhaoji 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Changchun Xidu  25.9% | Draw  30.3% | Shenzhen  43.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.53 ↑ (3.12) | 
			   3.01 (3.01) | 
			   2.08 ↓ (2.22) | 
			   9.7% (10.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The current form of both teams is below expectations.
 - Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Xidu won against Shenzhen?
                    
                    
                        
                            Changchun Xidu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Changchun Xidu?
                    
                    
                        
                             Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen were as follows:
                                                        
                                23.08.2025 
                                Shenzhen 
                                - 
                                Changchun Xidu 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Changchun Xidu                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Shenzhen                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62:17 | 45 | 73 | 
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 42:18 | 24 | 64 | 
| 3 | Shenzhen | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 55 | 
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 | 
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 | 
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 49 | 
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 48 | 
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 41 | 
      Promotion ~ League One