Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 73% (196/268) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 73% (196/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (30/75) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (59/103) | 50% (40/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Chen Z. ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
- 32', Zhu Yueqi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 0, Zhong Wen ⚽, Yuan Z. (A),
- 58', Li L. ↓, Wang Ziyang ↑,
- 58', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Tursun Qeyser ⚽,
- 68', Liu Zhizhi ↓, Qian Junhao ↑,
- 73', Huang Z. ↓, Shi Z. ↑,
- 73', Li Mingjie ↓, Ruoke Xiang ↑,
- 77', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Shang K. ↑,
- 77', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, Xu Chunqing ↑,
- 81', Hai J. ↓, Hu H. ↑,
- 88', Gao Jingchun ↓, Gong Hankui ↑,
- 90+13', Shang K. 🟨,
- 90+14', He Wei 🟨,
- 90+18', 2 - 1, Zhong Wen (Pen),
Chances of winning
Shenzhen
25.8% | Draw
29.3% | Wuxi Wugou
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen's form might have worsened.Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wuxi Wugou's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shenzhen - Wuxi Wugou Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(2.48) |
3.17 ↑
(3.12) |
2.07 ↓
(2.59) |
7.6%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Shenzhen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wuxi Wugou is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wuxi Wugou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Wuxi Wugou?
Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wuxi Wugou won against Shenzhen?
Wuxi Wugou has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Wuxi Wugou were as follows:
31.08.2025
Wuxi Wugou
-
Shenzhen
2:0
Latest results of Shenzhen
Latest results of Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Yi League Table
2026North | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port B | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Taian Tiankuang | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dalian Yingbo B | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Lanzhou Longyuan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Changchun Xidu | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Qingdao Red Lions | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Shanghai Second | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Beijing Technology | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
South | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guizhou Guiyang | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 15:13 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Shenzhen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wenzhou Professional | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Guangdong Mingtu | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )
