Result
4:1
10/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Ismayilli N. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', Onanuga O. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Rustamli R. ⚽,
- 39', 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Rustamli R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cafarov C. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Nabiyev F. ⚽,
- 50', Barker I. 🟨,
- 65', 3 - 1, Turabov E. ⚽,
- 71', Cahangirov U. ↓, Thompson G. ↑,
- 83', Spence K. C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
- 83', Masimov V. ↓, Ngwisani M. ↑,
- 83', Mickels J. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 84', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Huseynli R. ↑,
- 84', Nabiyev F. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 86', Turabov E. 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Rustamli R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Karvan
25% | Draw
26.1% | Kapaz
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karvan's form might have worsened.Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapaz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karvan - Kapaz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(2.91) |
3.53 ↑
(3.18) |
1.89 ↓
(2.28) |
8.4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karvan - Kapaz?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kapaz will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Karvan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kapaz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Kapaz has had a series of home games.
- Kapaz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Kapaz?
Karvan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Karvan?
Kapaz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Kapaz were as follows:
17.01.2026
Karvan
-
Kapaz
0:0
21.11.2025
Karvan
-
Kapaz
1:2
23.08.2025
Kapaz
-
Karvan
2:3
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
