Result
0:2
05/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Akinade I. 🟨,
- 52', Ba M. 🟨,
- 54', Rashidov N. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
- 60', Ba M. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
- 61', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Akinade I. ⚽,
- 80', Haciyev R. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
- 80', Nabiyev F. ↓, Shafiyev S. ↑,
- 83', Ba Loua A. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
- 86', Akinade I. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Massoumou D. J. ⚽,
- 90+1', Verdasca D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
33% | Draw
31.8% | Gabala
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Kapaz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Kapaz - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.74) |
2.9 ↓
(3.03) |
2.61 ↑
(2.43) |
8.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kapaz - Gabala?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kapaz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gabala will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 3.
- In recent matches, Kapaz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gabala is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Kapaz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Gabala?
Kapaz has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Kapaz?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Gabala were as follows:
10.01.2026
Gabala
-
Kapaz
3:1
14.12.2025
Kapaz
-
Gabala
1:0
20.09.2025
Gabala
-
Kapaz
3:0
28.04.2024
Gabala
-
Kapaz
0:1
23.02.2024
Kapaz
-
Gabala
2:1
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 72:21 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Zira | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
