Hoffenheim vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/03/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
46.6%
Draw
27.6%
Hertha Berlin
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 26% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 25.6% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.95)
    3.48
    (3.64)
    3.7
    (3.73)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Hertha will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.6%90.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
    • Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 18 (21.78%), project points - 31, currently - 19, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (20.38%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 62, big importance 70, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.
    • Hoffenheim has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Hertha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hoffenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Hip Injury) Bruun Larsen J. (Groin Injury) Che J. (Knee Injury) Dolberg K. (Head Injury) Kabak O. (Red Card) Nsoki S. (Hip Injury) Promel G. (Ankle Injury) Rudy S. (Hip Injury) Vogt K. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Boateng K. (Illness) Boetius J-P. (Shoulder Injury) Ejuke C. (Knee Injury) Jarstein R. (Injury) Nsona K. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Hertha to win the game is with odds 3.47.
    • Last 21 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Hertha Berlin - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    04.03.2023 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:0
    17.02.2023 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen24134745:291643
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV24681026:35-926
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga