Result
2:2
29/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 4
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (258/346) | 83% (346/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (258/346) | 83% (346/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (105/167) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Bamba R. ⚽, Bokangu B. (A),
- 31', Carlier M. 🟨,
- 34', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Beusnard S. ⚽, Mboup P. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Saint-Ruf N. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Bokangu B. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
- 65', Bobichon A. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 66', Versini G. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
- 66', Kalulu J. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 76', Bouriaud T. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
- 76', Maouassa F. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 78', Touzghar R. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 83', Briancon A. ↓, Kante ↑,
- 83', Bamba R. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
- 84', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Mboup P. ⚽, Glossoa N. (A),
Chances of winning
Nancy
47.2% | Draw
28% | Pau
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nancy's form might have worsened.Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nancy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Nancy - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.75) |
3.35 ↓
(3.6) |
3.77 ↓
(4.15) |
6.6%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nancy - Pau?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Pau will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Nancy might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nancy: Camara B.
(Inactive)
Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
Toure C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Sadik O.
(Inactive)
Zuliani E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Pau?
Nancy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Nancy?
Pau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Pau were as follows:
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pau FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Nancy | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Red Star | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Troyes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Clermont | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Amiens | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Rodez | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Reims | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Annecy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
