Nancy vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
29/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 4
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.97
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
75% (258/346)83% (346/419)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.41
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
817
Passes
75% (258/346)83% (346/419)
Long passes
48% (32/66)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
63% (105/167)70% (70/100)
Crosses
32% (9/28)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.85
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
178
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (4/6)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
2530
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.411.38
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bamba R. , Bokangu B. (A),
  • 31', Carlier M. 🟨,
  • 34', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Beusnard S. , Mboup P. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Saint-Ruf N. , Fernandez N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Bokangu B. , Suljic C. ,
  • 65', Bobichon A. , Gasnier K. ,
  • 66', Versini G. , Lebouath S. ,
  • 66', Kalulu J. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 76', Bouriaud T. , Ouotro P. ,
  • 76', Maouassa F. , Evans J. ,
  • 78', Touzghar R. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 83', Briancon A. , Kante ,
  • 83', Bamba R. , Nahounou Y. ,
  • 84', Bouabdelli W. , Sidibe O. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Mboup P. , Glossoa N. (A),

Chances of winning


Nancy
47.2%
Draw
28%
Pau
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 25.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 25% 21.6%

Nancy - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.99
(1.75)
3.35
(3.6)
3.77
(4.15)
6.6%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nancy - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Pau will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 28.1%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Nancy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nancy: Camara B. (Inactive) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Toure C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Sadik O. (Inactive) Zuliani E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Nancy
    22.08.2025 Dunkerque - Nancy 1:3
    15.08.2025 Nancy - Boulogne 1:0
    09.08.2025 Rodez - Nancy 0:0
    22.07.2025 Nancy - Strasbourg 1:2
    16.07.2025 Nancy - Villefranche 3:1
    Latest results of Pau
    25.08.2025 Pau - Reims 2:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    09.08.2025 Pau - Annecy 2:0
    02.08.2025 Rodez - Pau 2:4
    18.07.2025 Real Sociedad - Pau 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National