Pau vs Rodez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Nouste Camp (Pau).

Ligue 2 - Round 18
Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.65	0.92
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
24	5
Shots on target
12	3
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
89% (404/455)	84% (319/379)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.65	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
4.24	2.43
Total shots
24	5
Shots on target
12	3
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
17	4
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
42	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
89% (404/455)	84% (319/379)
Long passes
68% (26/38)	50% (17/34)
Passes in final third
80% (115/143)	59% (61/104)
Crosses
24% (7/29)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.73	0.77
Throw-ins
20	21
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
67% (6/9)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
39	34
Clearances
22	24
Interceptions
20	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	8
xGOT faced
2.43	4.24
Goals prevented
-0.57	1.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Bobichon A. (Penalty Awarded),
5', 1 - 1, Benchamma S. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Bobichon A. ⚽, Sadik O. (A),
23', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
29', Lipinski R. 🟨,
31', Kante 🟨,
41', Magnin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Sadik O. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Kante ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
59', 3 - 2, Versini G. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
64', Younoussa W. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
73', Beusnard S. 🟨,
76', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
76', Sadik O. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
76', Versini G. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
81', Benchamma S. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
81', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
81', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Jolibois C. ⚽, Galves N. (A),
89', Arconte T. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
89', Balde I. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
90+5', Baaloudj M. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Pau
45%

Draw
26%

Rodez
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Pau - Rodez Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	7.3% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Pau - Rodez?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rodez (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pau will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pau will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.
Recent form of Pau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rodez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)
There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Baaloudj M. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Leg Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pau won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Rodez?

Pau has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Pau?

Rodez has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Rodez were as follows:

26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2

02.08.2025 Rodez - Pau 2:4

14.02.2025 Pau - Rodez 0:5

06.12.2024 Rodez - Pau 1:0

03.08.2024 Rodez - Pau 1:4

Latest results of Pau

12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 SA Mérignac - Pau 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Guingamp - Pau 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Rodez

12.12.2025 Rodez - Guingamp 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Troyes - Rodez 1:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Canet Roussillon - Rodez 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 1:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Lavaur - Rodez 1:3 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes ✔	33	20	7	6	60:32	28	67
2	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	48:31	17	59
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	54:38	16	57
4	Red Star	33	16	9	8	44:36	8	57
5	Rodez	33	14	13	6	43:38	5	55
6	Reims	33	13	14	6	48:32	16	53
7	Annecy	33	15	7	11	48:37	11	52
8	Montpellier	33	14	8	11	40:30	10	50
9	Pau FC	33	12	9	12	45:57	-12	45
10	Dunkerque	33	11	10	12	51:42	9	43
11	Guingamp	33	10	10	13	42:48	-6	40
12	Grenoble	33	7	15	11	32:39	-7	36
13	Boulogne	33	9	9	15	33:47	-14	36
14	Clermont	33	8	10	15	37:44	-7	34
15	Nancy	33	8	10	15	32:50	-18	34
16	Laval	33	5	14	14	28:47	-19	29
17	Bastia	33	5	13	15	23:37	-14	28
18	Amiens ✔	33	6	6	21	37:60	-23	24

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Clinched Spots for Teams

Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National