Racing Santander vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.291.24
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (514/592)77% (249/325)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.291.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.890.76
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3214
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
719
Passes
87% (514/592)77% (249/325)
Long passes
50% (20/40)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
75% (155/207)71% (54/76)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.49
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
197
Tackles
90% (18/20)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.763.89
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. , Vicente I. (A),
  • 21', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Vicente I. , Canales P. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Jamelli (Pen),
  • 45+5', Anuar 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Almenara G. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 55', 3 - 1, Vicente I. , Villalibre A. (A),
  • 63', Aldasoro A. , Sainz-Maza I. ,
  • 63', Villalibre A. , Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 66', Jamelli , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 71', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 71', Matos Jose , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 75', Vicente I. , Sergio M. ,
  • 75', Sangalli M. , Cabanzon Y. ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 82', Ahmed A. , Cantero Y. ,
  • 90', Salinas J. , Santi F. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4d33ajzu

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
68.6%
Draw
20.2%
Ceuta
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 23.8% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 23.2% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Racing Santander - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.57)
    5.19
    (3.92)
    9.56
    (5.63)
    -2.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Ceuta?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Racing (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Inactive) Youness (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Latest results of Ceuta
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    02.08.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:3
    26.07.2025 Al-Wakrah - Ceuta 1:4
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander341951067:531462
    2Almeria34187966:471961
    3Dep. La Coruna34179852:371560
    4Las Palmas341512745:281757
    5Castellon34169956:411557
    6Malaga34169956:411557
    7Burgos CF34169941:291257
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Gijon341471345:43249
    10Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    11Andorra3412101250:47346
    12Cordoba341291346:52-645
    13Albacete3411111243:45-244
    14Granada CF3410121243:41242
    15Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    16Leganes349121338:37139
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF341081633:47-1438
    19Zaragoza348101631:46-1534
    20Huesca34881834:52-1832
    21Mirandes34881835:54-1932
    22Cultural Leonesa34881831:55-2432

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation