Result
2:2
20/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (336/440) | 68% (204/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (336/440) | 68% (204/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 31% (20/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/128) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/36) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Zuta L. ⚽, Crepulja L. (A),
- 14', Cubelic I. 🟨,
- 30', Calhanoglu K. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Crepulja L. (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zivkovic M. ↓, Elez J. ↑,
- 46', Calhanoglu K. ↓, Ticinovic M. ↑,
- 63', Mazar F. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 65', Cabrajic K. 🟨,
- 68', Cabrajic K. ↓, Spoljaric J. ↑,
- 74', Jakir A. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
- 79', Tadic M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Mitrovic J. ↓, Jovic F. ↑,
- 88', Kulusic L. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 89', Elez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91
36.4% | Draw
28.7% | Slaven Belupo
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vukovar 91 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.8) |
3.25 ↓
(3.48) |
2.68 ↑
(2.24) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukovar 91: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Slaven Belupo (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 50%). Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion HNK Cibalia.
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
Caimacov M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Biljan J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Sivalec G.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Slaven Belupo?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Vukovar 91?
Slaven Belupo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
13.01.2026
Slaven Belupo
-
Vukovar 91
2:2
21.11.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Vukovar 91
4:1
30.08.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Slaven Belupo
1:2
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
