Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (104/192) | 84% (441/522) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (104/192) | 84% (441/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (16/68) | 65% (39/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (36/81) | 76% (140/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Evans J. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Bourgault J. ⚽, Nahounou Y. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Detourbet M. (A),
- 45+1', Ouzenadji A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Dabasse A. 🟨,
- 63', Evans J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
- 65', Detourbet M. 🟨,
- 65', Barbier H. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 1, Dabasse A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Dabasse A. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
- 71', Bouriaud T. ↓, Bamba R. ↑,
- 71', Bourgault J. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 71', Detourbet M. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 76', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 81', Titi Y. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
- 81', Adeline M. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 89', Ouzenadji A. ↓, Diawara S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nancy
28.9% | Draw
28.8% | Troyes
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Nancy - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.25) |
3.25 ↓
(3.28) |
2.22 ↑
(2.18) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nancy - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 2.
- Nancy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Troyes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Troyes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Troyes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Experience M.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ouotro P.
(Inactive)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nancy: Gelin J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Boura I.
(Health problems)
Ifnaoui M.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Troyes?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nancy?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Troyes were as follows:
12.09.2025
Troyes
-
Nancy
3:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
