Result
4:0
14/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 6
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (434/513) | 80% (320/398) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.25 | 0.48 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (434/513) | 80% (320/398) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (24/55) | 43% (18/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (93/127) | 70% (98/141) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/16) | 27% (6/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.80 | 0.99 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (10/20) | 70% (19/27) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
3 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.48 | 2.25 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.48 | -1.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', Ticinovic M. ↓, Suver J. ↑,
- 22', Bukvic D. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Jelenic L. ⚽,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mikolcic S. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
- 50', Tadic M. 🟨,
- 54', Mulac D. ↓, Koeberle S. ↑,
- 57', Puljic J. 🟨,
- 64', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 66', Banovec L. ↓, Rai ↑,
- 66', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
- 69', Bukvic D. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽, Toure Y. (A),
- 75', Jakupovic A. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽,
- 88', Shopov S. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 89', Renan Guedes ↓, Kolarik I. ↑,
- 90+1', Tormin T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek 74.5% | Draw 15.7% | Vukovar 91 9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osijek's performance.Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vukovar 91 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vukovar 91 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Osijek - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.43) |
6.92 ↑ (4.48) |
11.2 ↑ (5.78) |
-3.4% (9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Osijek - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Osijek has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vukovar 91 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vukovar 91 has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Osijek is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Calhanoglu K.
(Knee Injury)
Djakovic A.
(Inactive)
Horvat M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Vukovar 91?
Osijek has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Osijek?
Vukovar 91 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 19 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
3 | Varazdin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
5 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
6 | Slaven Belupo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
7 | Gorica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Osijek | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL