Result
3:2 penalties
10/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', 0 - 1, Breese J. ⚽,
- 75', 0 - 2, Murtas F. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 2, Lock J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Gosset D. ⚽,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Jones M. (Pen),
- 1, Hewitt I. (Pen),
- 2, Lock J. (Pen),
- 2, Lindfield C. (Pen),
- 3, Gosset D. (Pen),
- 3, Sconce J. (Pen),
- 4, Owen M. (Pen),
- 4, ap Gareth I. (Pen),
- 5, Ellis O. (Pen),
- 5, Bibby T. (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
72.2% | Draw
16.3% | Holywell Town
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-16.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caernarfon Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.33) |
5.63 ↑
(4.93) |
7.97 ↑
(7.75) |
8.9%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Holywell Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Caernarfon is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Holywell Town?
Caernarfon Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holywell Town won against Caernarfon Town?
Holywell Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town were as follows:
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Holywell Town
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Holyhead | Buckley | 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Bye | Newtown | |
| 3 | Guilsfield | Mold Alexandra | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Bala | |
| 5 | Caernarfon | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Colwyn Bay | |
| 7 | Flint | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Holywell | |
| 9 | Llandudno | Bye | |
| 10 | Gresford | Brickfield | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Rhyl | Caersws FC | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Denbigh | Flint Mountain | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Ruthin | Penrhyncoch | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Connahs Q. | |
| 15 | TNS | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Airbus | |
| 17 | Caerau Ely | Trefelin | 3 : 4 |
| 18 | Bye | Penybont | |
| 19 | Briton Ferry | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Trethomas Bluebirds | |
| 21 | Haverfordwest | Bye | |
| 22 | Newport City | Baglan Dragons | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Llantwit Major | Afan Lido | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Swansea U21 | Carmarthen Town | 4 : 1 |
| 25 | Barry | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Aberystwyth | |
| 27 | Ynyshir Albions | Cardiff Draconians | 4 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Llanelli | |
| 29 | Treowen | Cambrian United | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Cardiff U21 | Ammanford | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Bye | |
| 32 | Pontypridd | Cwmbran Celtic | 1 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Buckley | Newtown | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Guilsfield | Bala | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | Colwyn Bay | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Flint | Holywell | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Llandudno | Gresford | 7 : 0 |
| 6 | Rhyl | Denbigh | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Ruthin | Connahs Q. | 0 : 9 |
| 8 | TNS | Airbus | 7 : 1 |
| 9 | Trefelin | Penybont | 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | Trethomas Bluebirds | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | Newport City | 5 : 0 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | Swansea U21 | 0 : 5 |
| 13 | Barry | Aberystwyth | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | Llanelli | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | Cambrian United | Cardiff U21 | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Pontypridd | 4 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Newtown | Bala | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Caernarfon | Holywell | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Llandudno | Denbigh | |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | TNS | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Penybont | Briton Ferry | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Haverfordwest | Swansea U21 | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Barry | Llanelli | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Cambrian United | Cardiff Metropolitan | 2 : 1 |
