Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 14', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 28', Melendez C. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
- 32', Ortiz L. 🟨,
- 32', Santos M. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Borja E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Franco J. 🟨,
- 44', Quejada J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Borja E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Franco J. ↓, Florez E. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, Gomez R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Aceituno M. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
- 65', Da Silva R. L. ↓, Reyes A. ↑,
- 66', Macias J. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 74', Barrios B. 🟨,
- 77', Bermudez J. ↓, Alvarado M. ↑,
- 77', Borja E. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Mejia C. ⚽,
- 80', Sacaza G. 🟨,
- 84', De Olivera R. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 85', Sacaza G. ↓, Cacho P. ↑,
- 85', Rocha D. ↓, Canales J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Choloma
15.9% | Draw
22.4% | Motagua
61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Choloma - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.69 ↑
(5.51) |
4.05 ↓
(4.7) |
1.47 ↑
(1.44) |
10.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Choloma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motagua is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Motagua is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Motagua?
Choloma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Choloma?
Motagua has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Motagua were as follows:
09.11.2025
Motagua
-
Choloma
2:1
10.09.2025
Choloma
-
Motagua
0:3
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
