Siello vs México – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 81', 1 - 1, ,
  • 88', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Siello
39.6%
Draw
29.7%
México
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.3% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 28.2% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Siello - México Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    3.08
    (3.2)
    2.98
    (2.76)
    9.4%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • México may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siello won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Siello - México were as follows:
    13.09.2025 México - Siello 0:1
    Latest results of Siello
    18.01.2026 Tres Cantos - Siello 0:1
    11.01.2026 Carabanchel - Siello 0:0
    04.01.2026 Siello - Móstoles URJC 1:2
    14.12.2025 Siello - Racing Madrid 1:1
    Latest results of México
    10.01.2026 México - Leganés B 0:1
    04.01.2026 Trival Valderas - México 2:3
    20.12.2025 México - Torrejón 1:2
    14.12.2025 Parla - México 1:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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