México vs Parla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Manzano C. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Alvarez B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 83', 1 - 2, ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


México
23.9%
Draw
34%
Parla
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 26.2% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 26% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that México's form might have worsened.
  • Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for México, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • México - Parla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.56
    (2.06)
    3.9
    (3.46)
    3.15
    (3.04)
    -24.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • México has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Parla has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • México is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, México won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between México - Parla were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Parla - México 1:3
    15.03.2025 México - Parla 0:2
    03.11.2024 Parla - México 1:2
    Latest results of México
    11.04.2026 Alcorcón B - México 1:1
    02.04.2026 Galapagar - México 1:3
    28.03.2026 México - Tres Cantos 0:5
    22.03.2026 Carabanchel - México 0:0
    14.03.2026 México - Móstoles URJC 1:0
    Latest results of Parla
    12.04.2026 Parla - Tres Cantos 3:4
    05.04.2026 Carabanchel - Parla 3:1
    29.03.2026 Parla - Móstoles URJC 1:1
    15.03.2026 Parla - Racing Madrid 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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