Trival Valderas vs México – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
04/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, ,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Merchan G. ,
  • 19', 2 - 1, ,
  • 40', 2 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Trival Valderas
41.3%
Draw
29.6%
México
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 28.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Trival Valderas - México Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.12)
    3.06
    (3.25)
    3.11
    (3.15)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Trival Valderas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Trival Valderas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Trival Valderas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trival Valderas - México were as follows:
    05.04.2025 México - Trival Valderas 1:2
    24.11.2024 Trival Valderas - México 1:2
    Latest results of Trival Valderas
    Latest results of México
    20.12.2025 México - Torrejón 1:2
    14.12.2025 Parla - México 1:3
    06.12.2025 México - Alcorcón B 2:0
    22.11.2025 México - Galapagar 2:0
    16.11.2025 Tres Cantos - México 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas30158749:321753
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello30951628:41-1332
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

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